Recent geopolitical tensions and global events (such as Brexit, the COVID-19 pandemic, trade wars and armed conflicts) have shown that automotive supply chains are particularly exposed to disruption caused by unforeseen circumstances and political uncertainty. A recent high-profile example includes the US administration's imposition of tariffs and other trade restrictions targeting numerous countries and specific sectors, including the automotive sector, with tariffs often imposed at relatively short notice, leaving little time for supply chains to adapt.
Supply chain disruption can also be caused by events closer to home, for example the UK government's recent announcement that it plans to introduce a new "pay-per-mile" tax on electric vehicles, which some argue could have a chilling effect on automotive supply chains which are in the process of pivoting to EVs.
Additionally, the extensive supply chain disruption caused by Russia's invasion of Ukraine and other global conflicts continues to be felt as a result of the significant increase in sanctions and export controls being used to intentionally disrupt access to economic resources and physical goods (now extending beyond those goods which, historically, were usually targeted by trade controls, i.e. 'dual-use' items which have potential military functionality).
Such events have led to force majeure and compliance with laws clauses in international supply contracts coming under renewed scrutiny in recent years as parties seek relief from their contractual obligations where their performance is prevented or delayed due to circumstances they consider to be outside of their control, or perceived to be prevented by (often conflicting) legal obligations of various jurisdictions.
However, force majeure clauses do not always come to the rescue. As noted in our briefing on Brexit, force majeure and material adverse change clauses, the English courts typically interpret force majeure clauses narrowly, requiring specific language to be included to cover economic changes like tariffs.
Key points to consider:
- Review key contracts: Work out who is responsible for paying tariffs and whether there are any mechanisms (such as force majeure) that could result in the parties' obligations being suspended. Force majeure clauses should cover not only "acts of God", but also industrial action, government intervention, trade restrictions and cyber incidents. The scope and procedural requirements (notice, mitigation and duration) require careful drafting and review in light of evolving threats. See this briefing for a further discussion on force majeure clauses.
- Material Adverse Change (MAC) clauses: Consider supplementing force majeure clauses with carefully defined MAC clauses, particularly for international contracts where tariffs or political interventions might radically alter the commercial dynamics. MAC clauses are often used to trigger a renegotiation of a contract in defined circumstances, or to provide one or both parties with a right of termination if outside events result in the contract becoming uneconomical. See this briefing for a further discussion on MAC clauses.
- Wider geo-economic context: Keep up-to-date on evolving conflicts, trade deals and the impact of bilateral agreements on tariff exposure and supply chain friction. These can materially affect commercial forecasting and risk allocation.
- Screening: Carrying out proportionate screening of counterparties before entering into new (or renewing existing) contractual arrangements can help reduce the chance of unexpected risks arising in relation to sanctions and export controls, in addition to including anti-circumvention and enhanced termination measures to provide additional protection (where appropriate).
For more information on what the recent US tariff changes mean for international supply contracts, please see this briefing.
For more information on what to watch out for in international trade in the next 12-18 months, see our briefing on the UK's trade agreements in a changing world, and see also our UK Sanctions Update, which discusses the significant new enforcement powers granted to the UK Office of Financial Sanctions Implementation (OFSI) and notable recent sanctions cases.